Bogdan Bogdanovic Points - Player Prop Bet 3/17/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Bogdan Bogdanovic

G · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Golden State Warriors · Mar 17, 2023

Updated Mar 17, 2023 9:56 PM EST

Analysis

Bogdan Bogdanovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ +102 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bogdan Bogdanovic has converted 2.7 three-point shots per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among all players in the league.
The Atlanta Hawks check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA while on their home court this year.
While playing on the road, the Warriors have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Bogdan Bogdanovic has successfully made 2.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's made over the course of the year.
Bogdan Bogdanovic will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home tends to improves player performance in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Bogdan Bogdanovic has tallied 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season.
This matchup is a positive one for 3-point attempts; opposing teams have totaled the 3rd-most three attempts per game in the league over the last 15 games (39.3).
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 9th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Warriors have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games away from their home stadium, which should reduce plays for the Hawks.
The Atlanta Hawks check in as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).