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Bogdan Bogdanovic

Bogdan Bogdanovic Points
Player Prop - 3/4/2023

Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks

Bogdan Bogdanovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Bogdan Bogdanovic has averaged 20.6 points per game over the last 10 games on the road, 4.1 more than he's averaged in all games this season on the road.

Bogdan Bogdanovic has sunk 3.5 threes per game over the last 10 games on the road, 0.9 more than he's converted from three overall this season while playing on the road.

Bogdan Bogdanovic has averaged 28.6 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 77th percentile.

The Atlanta Hawks have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

The Heat have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Bogdan Bogdanovic has tallied 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's tallied over the course of the season.

The Atlanta Hawks have been the 10th-least aggressive offense in the NBA when playing on the road this year as it relates to 3-point attempts.

This matchup is a positive one for attempts from beyond the arc; opposing clubs have averaged the 4th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (37.5).

The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 9th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to reduce plays for the Hawks.

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