Bogdan Bogdanovic Points - Player Prop Bet 3/3/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Bogdan Bogdanovic

G · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Portland Trail Blazers · Mar 3, 2023

Updated Mar 4, 2023 12:46 AM EST

Analysis

Bogdan Bogdanovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -127 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -103.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bogdan Bogdanovic has attempted 7.1 three-pointers per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 93rd percentile among all players in the NBA.
The Atlanta Hawks check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA at home this year.
The Trail Blazers have allowed the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.8) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Bogdan Bogdanovic has successfully made 2.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's converted overall this year.
Bogdan Bogdanovic will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court generally increases player performance in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Bogdan Bogdanovic has averaged 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's averaged in all games this season.
This matchup is a good one for threes; opposing teams have compiled the 2nd-highest three percentage in the league this year (37.0%).
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
The Trail Blazers have played at the 10th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games while traveling, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Hawks.
The Atlanta Hawks check in as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).