Bogdan Bogdanovic Points - Player Prop Bet 2/28/2023

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Bogdan Bogdanovic

NBA · Player Props

Bogdan Bogdanovic

G · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Washington Wizards · Feb 28, 2023

Updated Mar 1, 2023 4:01 AM EST

Analysis

Bogdan Bogdanovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-125/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bogdan Bogdanovic has attempted 7.1 3-point shots per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The Atlanta Hawks have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA on their home court this year.
The Wizards have played at the 8th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Hawks.
The Wizards have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (8.6) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Bogdan Bogdanovic has made 2.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's converted over the course of the year.

Favors Under

Bogdan Bogdanovic has accumulated 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's accumulated overall this season.
The matchup vs. the Wizards is a good one; they have given up the 4th-most points per game in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 5 games (122.8).
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Atlanta Hawks check in as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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