Bogdan Bogdanovic Points - Player Prop Bet 1/18/2023

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Bogdan Bogdanovic

NBA · Player Props

Bogdan Bogdanovic

G · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Atlanta Hawks · Jan 18, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Bogdan Bogdanovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bogdan Bogdanovic has attempted 7.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Bogdan Bogdanovic has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games on the road, 18.0% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season without the home court advantage.
Bogdan Bogdanovic has been on the court for 30.5 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 79th percentile.
Bogdan Bogdanovic has committed a lowly 1.4 personal fouls per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 2.2 fouls per game last year.
The Atlanta Hawks rank as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year while playing on the road.

Favors Under

The matchup against the Mavericks may be a challenging one for getting to the free throw line; the other team have attempted a mere 24.9 free throws per game this year (8th-least in the league).
The Atlanta Hawks check in as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year in terms of 3-point shots.
The Hawks have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should decrease plays for the Mavericks.
Bogdan Bogdanovic will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road tends to lowers player performance for all stats.

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