Bogdan Bogdanovic Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 4/9/2024

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Bogdan Bogdanovic

NBA · Player Props

Bogdan Bogdanovic

G · Atlanta Hawks

Made 3 Point Shots

Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat · Apr 9, 2024

Updated Apr 9, 2024 11:37 PM EST

Analysis

Bogdan Bogdanovic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-178/+138).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -148 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -178.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bogdan Bogdanovic has attempted 8.1 3-point shots per game this season, significantly more than his 6.6 mark last season.
Bogdan Bogdanovic has tallied 38.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 8.0 higher than he's tallied overall this year at home.
This year, the other team's starting SGs have tallied 6.3 3-point attempts per game (most in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, resulting in a good matchup.
The 4th-speediest pace home team in the league this year has been the Atlanta Hawks.
The Hawks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Bogdan Bogdanovic comes in at the 80th percentile for personal fouls, posting an enormous 2.2 fouls per game playing at home this year.
The Heat have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA without the home court advantage this year, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Hawks.

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