Bogdan Bogdanovic Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/28/2024

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Bogdan Bogdanovic

NBA · Player Props

Bogdan Bogdanovic

G · Atlanta Hawks

Made 3 Point Shots

Atlanta Hawks vs Toronto Raptors · Jan 28, 2024

Updated Jan 28, 2024 11:12 PM EST

Analysis

Bogdan Bogdanovic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In contrast to last season's 6.6 rate, Bogdan Bogdanovic's shot attempts from downtown have surged this season to 8.4 per game.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 3rd-fastest pace in the league over the last 15 games on their home court.
The Raptors have played at the 7th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home city, which ought to increase possessions for the Hawks.
The Hawks check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Bogdan Bogdanovic will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium tends to boost player production for all stats.

Favors Under

Bogdan Bogdanovic has tallied 2.3 personal fouls per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 77th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The Hawks have been the 3rd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage.
The matchup against Toronto is a hard one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Raptors are the visiting team, the opposition's starting SGs have totaled the 14th-least three attempts per game in the league this year (4.3).
Over the last 5 games, opposing teams have grabbed 13.4 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-most in the NBA) vs. the Toronto Raptors (lengthening possessions that can bring about further opportunities for offense).

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