Bogdan Bogdanovic Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/22/2023

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Bogdan Bogdanovic

NBA · Player Props

Bogdan Bogdanovic

G · Atlanta Hawks

Made 3 Point Shots

Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks · Dec 22, 2023

Updated Dec 23, 2023 12:55 AM EST

Analysis

Bogdan Bogdanovic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +125 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bogdan Bogdanovic has sunk 4.3 three-point shots per game over the last 10 games, 0.9 more than he's made from downtown over the course of the year.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games while playing on the road.
The Hawks have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league as the away team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Miami Heat have given up the least offensive boards per game (9.0) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Bogdan Bogdanovic has accumulated 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's accumulated over the course of the year.
This matchup is a strong one for threes; when the Miami Heat are playing at home, their opposition has posted the 4th-highest three percentage in the league against them this year (38.6%).
The Hawks will likely experience a decrease in possessions today from being pitted against the least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games (the Heat).
Bogdan Bogdanovic will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage tends to reduce player performance across the board.

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