Bogdan Bogdanovic Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/11/2023

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Bogdan Bogdanovic

NBA · Player Props

Bogdan Bogdanovic

G · Atlanta Hawks

Made 3 Point Shots

Atlanta Hawks vs Denver Nuggets · Dec 11, 2023

Updated Dec 12, 2023 12:38 AM EST

Analysis

Bogdan Bogdanovic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-149/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -159 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bogdan Bogdanovic has successfully made 3.1 three-point shots per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 97th percentile among all players in the NBA.
The 2nd-fastest pace visiting team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Atlanta Hawks.
The Atlanta Hawks have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the home team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
This year when they are at home, opposing squads have captured 9.9 offensive rebounds per game (7th-fewest in the league) vs. the Nuggets (lessening possessions that could otherwise create added chances for offense).
Bogdan Bogdanovic will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home generally improves player performance in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

In contrast to last season's 1.4 rate, Bogdan Bogdanovic's personal fouls per game have increased this season to 3.0.
This matchup is a favorable one for three-point shots; the other team has posted the 6th-highest three percentage in the NBA over the last 15 games at home (38.3%).
The Hawks are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 5th-most lethargic pace away offense in the NBA this year (the Nuggets).

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