Bogdan Bogdanovic Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 4/11/2023

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Bogdan Bogdanovic

NBA · Player Props

Bogdan Bogdanovic

G · Atlanta Hawks

Made 3 Point Shots

Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks · Apr 11, 2023

Updated Apr 11, 2023 11:06 PM EST

Analysis

Bogdan Bogdanovic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+120/-150).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bogdan Bogdanovic has successfully made 2.7 shots from downtown per game this year, putting him in the 95th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.
The Atlanta Hawks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.9) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Atlanta Hawks have been the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year in terms of three-point attempts.
This matchup is a positive one for three-pointers; when the Heat have the home court advantage, opposing clubs have tallied the 2nd-most 3-point shots per game in the league against them this year (13.8).
The Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Hawks.
Bogdan Bogdanovic will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage usually lowers player performance in all facets of the game.

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