Bogdan Bogdanovic Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/9/2024

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Bogdan Bogdanovic

NBA · Player Props

Bogdan Bogdanovic

G · Atlanta Hawks

Assists

Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat · Apr 9, 2024

Updated Apr 9, 2024 11:32 PM EST

Analysis

Bogdan Bogdanovic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+112/-148).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -137 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -148.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bogdan Bogdanovic has averaged 4.5 assists per game over the last 15 games at home, 1.2 higher than he's averaged overall this season at home.
Bogdan Bogdanovic has tallied 38.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 8.0 higher than he's tallied overall this year at home.
The 4th-speediest pace home team in the league this year has been the Atlanta Hawks.
The Hawks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
Bogdan Bogdanovic will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home generally improves player performance in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Bogdan Bogdanovic comes in at the 80th percentile for personal fouls, posting an enormous 2.2 fouls per game playing at home this year.
The Heat have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA without the home court advantage this year, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Hawks.

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