Bogdan Bogdanovic Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/6/2024

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Bogdan Bogdanovic

NBA · Player Props

Bogdan Bogdanovic

G · Atlanta Hawks

Assists

Atlanta Hawks vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Mar 6, 2024

Updated Mar 7, 2024 12:36 AM EST

Analysis

Bogdan Bogdanovic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+134/-164).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -166 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +134.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bogdan Bogdanovic has put up 2.8 assists per game this year, placing him in the 76th percentile -- near the top of the league by this metric over this stretch.
The 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Atlanta Hawks.
The Atlanta Hawks check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year, their opposition has captured 10.3 offensive boards per game (8th-fewest in the NBA) against the Cleveland Cavaliers (minimizing possessions that could otherwise spark more opportunities for offense).
Bogdan Bogdanovic will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage generally increases player production across the board.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Bogdan Bogdanovic measures in the 80th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a whopping 2.3 fouls per game this year.
The Cavaliers have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should reduce plays for the Hawks.

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