Bogdan Bogdanovic Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/29/2024

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Bogdan Bogdanovic

NBA · Player Props

Bogdan Bogdanovic

G · Atlanta Hawks

Assists

Brooklyn Nets vs Atlanta Hawks · Feb 29, 2024

Updated Mar 1, 2024 12:32 AM EST

Analysis

Bogdan Bogdanovic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+130/-158).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -138 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -158.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bogdan Bogdanovic has compiled 3.8 assists per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's compiled in all games this year.
Bogdan Bogdanovic has averaged 29.2 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 76th percentile.
The Hawks have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Atlanta Hawks rank 1stbest in in the NBA with 13.1 offensive rebounds per game this year.
The Brooklyn Nets have given up the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (7.2) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Bogdan Bogdanovic rates in the 80th percentile for personal fouls, putting up an enormous 2.4 fouls per game when playing away from home this year.
The Brooklyn Nets have played at the 3rd-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games in their home stadium, which ought to decrease plays for the Hawks.
Bogdan Bogdanovic is expected to see a decline in efficiency across the board due to playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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