Bogdan Bogdanovic Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/25/2024

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Bogdan Bogdanovic

NBA · Player Props

Bogdan Bogdanovic

G · Atlanta Hawks

Assists

Atlanta Hawks vs Orlando Magic · Feb 25, 2024

Updated Feb 25, 2024 11:59 PM EST

Analysis

Bogdan Bogdanovic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-102/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bogdan Bogdanovic has put up 4.2 assists per game over the last 5 games while at home, 1.4 more than he's put up in all games this season at home.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games at home.
The Atlanta Hawks have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 10 games when they are playing at home, opposing clubs have come down with 8.2 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Magic (lessening possessions that could otherwise produce added opportunities for offense).
Bogdan Bogdanovic will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city tends to improve player production for all stats.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Bogdan Bogdanovic places in the 81st percentile for personal fouls, registering an enormous 2.4 fouls per game on his home court this year.
The Orlando Magic have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games on the road, which should decrease possessions for the Atlanta Hawks.

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