Bogdan Bogdanovic Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/12/2024

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Bogdan Bogdanovic

NBA · Player Props

Bogdan Bogdanovic

G · Atlanta Hawks

Assists

Atlanta Hawks vs Indiana Pacers · Jan 12, 2024

Updated Jan 13, 2024 12:29 AM EST

Analysis

Bogdan Bogdanovic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-132/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -132.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bogdan Bogdanovic has tallied 3.8 assists per game over the last 5 games while at home, 1.1 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year at home.
The speediest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Hawks.
The Hawks will likely get a boost in plays today from competing against the most up-tempo pace-of-play road offense in the NBA this year (the Indiana Pacers).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hawks grade out 1stbest in in the league with 13.1 offensive boards per game this year.
Bogdan Bogdanovic will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city generally raises player performance in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Bogdan Bogdanovic rates in the 82nd percentile for personal fouls, putting up an enormous 2.5 fouls per game this year.
Over the last 15 games, the other team has come down with 11.9 offensive boards per game (2nd-most in the league) vs. the Indiana Pacers (lengthening possessions that can lead to additional chances for offense).

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