Bogdan Bogdanovic Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/26/2023

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Bogdan Bogdanovic

NBA · Player Props

Bogdan Bogdanovic

G · Atlanta Hawks

Assists

Chicago Bulls vs Atlanta Hawks · Dec 26, 2023

Updated Dec 27, 2023 1:03 AM EST

Analysis

Bogdan Bogdanovic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-109/-119).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -109.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bogdan Bogdanovic has averaged 3.1 assists per game this year on the road, putting him among the hottest players in the league by this standard over this stretch: 79th percentile.
The Hawks have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games as the visting team.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hawks grade out 15thbest in in the league on the road with 13.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

Bogdan Bogdanovic has been called for 2.4 personal fouls per game while playing away from home this year, placing him in the 76th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The Atlanta Hawks will likely suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from squaring off against the slowest pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Bulls).
When playing at home, the Chicago Bulls have given up the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
Bogdan Bogdanovic will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city tends to reduce stat production for all stats.

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