Bogdan Bogdanovic Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/25/2023

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Bogdan Bogdanovic

NBA · Player Props

Bogdan Bogdanovic

G · Atlanta Hawks

Assists

Washington Wizards vs Atlanta Hawks · Nov 25, 2023

Updated Nov 25, 2023 11:52 PM EST

Analysis

Bogdan Bogdanovic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-123/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +113 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bogdan Bogdanovic has totaled an impressive 3.5 assists per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 3.3 assists per game last season.
Bogdan Bogdanovic has averaged 1.2 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the least lowest-fouling players in the NBA (21st percentile).
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 3rd-quickest pace in the league while on their home court this year.
The Wizards have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA on their home court this year, which should increase plays for the Hawks.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hawks grade out 12thbest in in the NBA when playing at home with 13.1 offensive boards per game this year.

Favors Under

On the road, the Wizards have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (16.4) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Bogdan Bogdanovic will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage generally lowers player performance in all facets of the game.

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