Bogdan Bogdanovic Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/15/2023

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Bogdan Bogdanovic

NBA · Player Props

Bogdan Bogdanovic

G · Atlanta Hawks

Assists

Atlanta Hawks vs New York Knicks · Nov 15, 2023

Updated Nov 16, 2023 12:38 AM EST

Analysis

Bogdan Bogdanovic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+103/-133).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -132 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -133.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bogdan Bogdanovic has compiled 3.0 assists per game at home this year, putting him in the 77th percentile -- near the top of the league by this metric.
The 2nd-most up-tempo tempo offense in the league this year has been the Hawks.
The Atlanta Hawks have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
The New York Knicks have given up the 3rd-least offensive boards per game (8.8) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Bogdan Bogdanovic will likely see an increase in productivity in all stat categories on account of possessing the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Bogdan Bogdanovic has averaged 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, significantly more than his 1.4 fouls per game last year.
The Hawks are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this game from being pitted against the least up-tempo tempo road offense in the NBA this year (the Knicks).

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