Bogdan Bogdanovic Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/27/2023

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Bogdan Bogdanovic

NBA · Player Props

Bogdan Bogdanovic

G · Atlanta Hawks

Assists

Atlanta Hawks vs Boston Celtics · Apr 27, 2023

Updated Apr 28, 2023 12:26 AM EST

Analysis

Bogdan Bogdanovic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-190/+145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -190 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bogdan Bogdanovic has compiled 2.8 assists per game this year, placing him in the 75th percentile -- among the league leaders by this standard recently.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the fastest pace in the league over the last 15 games on their home court.
The Celtics have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should boost plays for the Hawks.
The Atlanta Hawks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Celtics have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.9) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Bogdan Bogdanovic has accumulated 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the season.

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