Bogdan Bogdanovic Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/4/2023

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Bogdan Bogdanovic

NBA · Player Props

Bogdan Bogdanovic

G · Atlanta Hawks

Assists

Chicago Bulls vs Atlanta Hawks · Apr 4, 2023

Updated Apr 5, 2023 12:18 AM EST

Analysis

Bogdan Bogdanovic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-154/+126).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -152 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -154.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bogdan Bogdanovic has put up 3.1 assists per game this year on the road, ranking him among the NBA's leaders by this metric over this stretch of games: 79th percentile.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Atlanta Hawks rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Bulls have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which should decrease possessions for the Hawks.
With the home court advantage, the Bulls have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
Bogdan Bogdanovic will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium generally lowers player production across the board.

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