Bogdan Bogdanovic Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/3/2023

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Bogdan Bogdanovic

NBA · Player Props

Bogdan Bogdanovic

G · Atlanta Hawks

Assists

Atlanta Hawks vs Portland Trail Blazers · Mar 3, 2023

Updated Mar 4, 2023 3:41 AM EST

Analysis

Bogdan Bogdanovic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-140/+105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bogdan Bogdanovic has tallied 3.2 assists per game this year at home, placing him among the best in the league by this metric in recent days: 78th percentile.
The Trail Blazers have allowed the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.8) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Bogdan Bogdanovic will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court generally increases player performance in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Bogdan Bogdanovic has averaged 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's averaged in all games this season.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
The Trail Blazers have played at the 10th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games while traveling, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Hawks.
The Atlanta Hawks check in as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

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