Bogdan Bogdanovic Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/23/2023

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Bogdan Bogdanovic

NBA · Player Props

Bogdan Bogdanovic

G · Atlanta Hawks

Assists

Chicago Bulls vs Atlanta Hawks · Jan 23, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Bogdan Bogdanovic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-160/+125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -175 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bogdan Bogdanovic has posted 3.8 assists per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's posted overall this year.
Bogdan Bogdanovic has averaged 30.6 minutes per game away from his home court this year, ranking him in the 78th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Hawks have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games on their home court, which ought to increase opportunities for the Bulls.
The Bulls have allowed the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.8) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (which can also provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Bogdan Bogdanovic has committed 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA when it comes to getting T'ed up (78th percentile).
The Atlanta Hawks check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (which also reduces additional chances for scoring and assists).
Bogdan Bogdanovic will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium usually decreases player performance in all facets of the game.

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