Bobby Portis Points - Player Prop Bet 2/12/2024

NBA · Player Props

Bobby Portis

F · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Denver Nuggets · Feb 12, 2024

Updated Feb 13, 2024 2:09 AM EST

Analysis

Bobby Portis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bobby Portis has attempted 13.0 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.8 more than he's attempted in all games this season.
Bobby Portis has successfully made 45.4% of his three-pointers over the last 15 games at home, 10.7% more than he's made over the course of the season while on his home court.
Bobby Portis has been on the court for 29.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.6 more than he's been on the court for overall this year.
In regard to offense, the Bucks's remarkable 126.5 points per game while on their home court places highest in the NBA over the last 20 games.
This year, their opposition has tallied 11.4 3-pointers per game (2nd-lowest in the league) against the Nuggets, creating a challenging matchup.

Favors Under

Bobby Portis has committed 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the league (84th percentile).
The Bucks are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities today from competing against the most lethargic tempo team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Denver Nuggets).
The Bucks have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Nuggets have allowed the 9th-most offensive boards per game (11.8) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games, opposing squads have attempted 22.0 free throws per game (10th-most in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets, making it fairly effortless to get to the free-throw line.