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Bobby Portis

Bobby Portis Points
Player Prop - 2/4/2024

Utah Jazz vs Milwaukee Bucks

Bobby Portis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Bobby Portis has converted 44.7% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games, 13.5% higher than he's converted over the course of the year.

The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the highest scoring offense in the league as the away team this year.

The Bucks have played at the speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games.

The Bucks will likely see an increase in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Jazz).

The number of fouls drawn by opposing starting Cs vs. John Collins has been remarkably high this year (4.8 free throw attempts per game when they are on the visiting team: 97th percentile).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Bobby Portis has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game while on the road this year, ranking in the 78th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.

The matchup against John Collins is a challenging one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when matched up against other starting Cs this year, they have successfully made a lowly 25.9% of their attempts from beyond the arc (7th percentile).

The Bucks check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the away team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Jazz have given up the 3rd-most offensive boards per game (12.1) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Bobby Portis will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road usually lowers player production for all stats.

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