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Bobby Portis

Bobby Portis Points
Player Prop - 11/28/2023

Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks

Bobby Portis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Compared to last year's 35.2% rate, Bobby Portis's 3-point performance has jumped this year to 31.9%.

When it comes to shooting, the Bucks's outstanding 122.1 points per game away from home settles in as the 2nd-strongest in the league this year.

The 3rd-speediest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.

The Heat have allowed the 6th-least offensive boards per game (9.7) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

This matchup is a challenging one for getting to the foul line; their opposition has attempted a lowly 19.2 free throws per game when the Heat are the visiting team this year (3rd-least in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In comparison to last year's 3.7 clip, Bobby Portis's shot attempts from beyond the arc have diminished this year to 2.5 per game.

Bobby Portis has been called for 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the league when it comes to technicals (86th percentile).

This matchup is a strong one for threes; when the Heat are playing at home, their opposition has posted the 4th-highest three percentage in the NBA against them this year (38.1%).

The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 5 games on their home court, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Bucks.

Offensive rebounds save possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Bucks rank 4thworst in in the league without the home court advantage with just 9.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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