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Bobby Portis

Bobby Portis Points
Player Prop - 4/24/2023

Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks

Bobby Portis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -122.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Bobby Portis has successfully made 51.5% of his 3-point shots over the last 10 games, 16.0% higher than he's converted from three over the course of the year.

The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games.

The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games away from home.

The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.0) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Bobby Portis has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 20.8% higher than he's converted overall this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Bobby Portis has tallied 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's tallied overall this year.

This matchup is a strong one for threes; when the Heat are on their home court, opposing squads have tallied the 2nd-most treys per game in the league against them this year (13.6).

The Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to decrease possessions for the Bucks.

The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Bobby Portis will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium generally worsens player production across the board.

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