Bobby Portis Points - Player Prop Bet 3/29/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Bobby Portis

F · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks · Mar 29, 2023

Updated Mar 29, 2023 10:53 PM EST

Analysis

Bobby Portis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bobby Portis has made 5.3 shots made from the field per game on the road this year, ranking him in the 79th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Bobby Portis has attempted 5.4 threes per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season.
The Milwaukee Bucks have been the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games.
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 15 games.
The Pacers have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games in their home stadium, which should lead to more plays for the Bucks.

Favors Under

Bobby Portis has averaged 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the league when it comes to getting T'ed up (93rd percentile).
The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
While on their home court, the Pacers have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
This matchup may be a strong one for getting to the foul line; opposing teams have attempted a monstrous 26.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games (3rd-most in the NBA).
Bobby Portis will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city usually reduces stat production for all stats.