Bobby Portis Points - Player Prop Bet 3/1/2023

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Bobby Portis

NBA · Player Props

Bobby Portis

F · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Orlando Magic · Mar 1, 2023

Updated Mar 2, 2023 1:11 AM EST

Analysis

Bobby Portis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bobby Portis has made 1.8 three-point shots per game this year, placing him in the 79th percentile among all players in the NBA.
This matchup is a challenging one for field goals; opposing clubs have posted the 3rd-lowest FG% in the league over the last 25 games when the Magic are the visiting team (45.6%).
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA while at home this year.
The Magic have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games on the road, which should lead to increased plays for the Bucks.
The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Bobby Portis has been called for 2.4 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 77th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
Away from their home court, the Magic have given up the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.7) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
This matchup may be a good one for drawing fouls; when the Magic are the visiting team, the other team have attempted a monstrous 24.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (8th-most in the league).

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