Bilal Coulibaly Points - Player Prop Bet 12/5/2024

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Bilal Coulibaly

NBA · Player Props

Bilal Coulibaly

G · Washington Wizards

Points

Washington Wizards vs Dallas Mavericks · Dec 5, 2024

Updated Dec 6, 2024 12:14 AM EST

Analysis

Bilal Coulibaly Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In comparison to last year's 27.3 rate, Bilal Coulibaly's playing time has jumped this year to 34.8 minutes per game.
The Washington Wizards have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the NBA this year.
The Wizards are expected to see a rise in opportunities today from squaring off against the 5th-quickest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Dallas Mavericks).
Among all players in the NBA, Bilal Coulibaly places in the 76th percentile for drawing fouls, logging a monstrous 3.0 foul shots per game on his home court this year.
As a team, the Wizards have been among the best at getting to the free-throw line of late: 4th-best in the NBA over the last 5 games with 25.4 foul shot attempts per game.

Favors Under

Bilal Coulibaly has made 25.9% of his three-pointers this year, ranking him in the 19th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The matchup vs. the Mavericks is a hard one; they have allowed the 2nd-least points per game in the league to opposing starting SFs over the last 15 games (11.4).
The Wizards have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year when they are at home, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 1.6 foul shots per game (2nd-fewest in the league) vs. the Mavericks, struggling to draw fouls.

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