Bennedict Mathurin Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/28/2024

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Bennedict Mathurin

NBA · Player Props

Bennedict Mathurin

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Rebounds

Indiana Pacers vs New Orleans Pelicans · Feb 28, 2024

Updated Feb 29, 2024 2:02 AM EST

Analysis

Bennedict Mathurin Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bennedict Mathurin has posted 5.4 defensive boards per game over the last 5 games, 2.4 higher than he's posted overall this year.
Bennedict Mathurin has played 33.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 5.6 more than he's played in all games this season at home.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the most up-tempo pace in the league playing at home this year.
This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team has collected 9.0 offensive boards per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Pelicans (losing possessions that could otherwise result in further chances for offense).
Bennedict Mathurin will enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home generally raises player production across the board.

Favors Under

The Indiana Pacers will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from competing against the 4th-most lethargic tempo road team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Pelicans).
The Indiana Pacers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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