Bennedict Mathurin Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/25/2024

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Bennedict Mathurin

NBA · Player Props

Bennedict Mathurin

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Rebounds

Indiana Pacers vs Dallas Mavericks · Feb 25, 2024

Updated Feb 25, 2024 9:27 PM EST

Analysis

Bennedict Mathurin Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-103/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -109 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bennedict Mathurin has posted 1.2 offensive rebounds per game this year at home, putting him among the league's best by this metric in recent games: 76th percentile.
The Pacers have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the NBA while on their home court this year.
The Pacers are expected to see an increase in opportunities today from squaring off against the 7th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Dallas Mavericks).
Bennedict Mathurin will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium usually raises stat production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

The Pacers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Dallas Mavericks have allowed the 4th-most offensive boards per game (11.5) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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