Bennedict Mathurin Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/8/2024

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Bennedict Mathurin

NBA · Player Props

Bennedict Mathurin

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Rebounds

Indiana Pacers vs Boston Celtics · Jan 8, 2024

Updated Jan 8, 2024 11:42 PM EST

Analysis

Bennedict Mathurin Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-132/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -132.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bennedict Mathurin has averaged 1.3 offensive boards per game this year at home, placing him among the NBA's hottest by this metric in recent days: 77th percentile.
The fastest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Pacers.
The Pacers will likely see a rise in opportunities in this game from competing against the 9th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Celtics).
Bennedict Mathurin will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage tends to increase stat production across the board.

Favors Under

Offensive rebounds continue possession and create additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Indiana Pacers grade out 5thworst in in the NBA when playing at home with only 9.3 offensive boards per game this year.
The Boston Celtics have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.5) in the NBA to the other team over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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