Bennedict Mathurin Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/18/2023

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Bennedict Mathurin

NBA · Player Props

Bennedict Mathurin

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Rebounds

Indiana Pacers vs LA Clippers · Dec 18, 2023

Updated Dec 19, 2023 12:18 AM EST

Analysis

Bennedict Mathurin Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bennedict Mathurin has put up 1.6 offensive boards per game this year at home, putting him among the NBA's hottest in this category in recent games: 84th percentile.
The quickest tempo offense in the league this year has been the Pacers.
Bennedict Mathurin stands to get a boost in effectiveness in all stat categories considering having the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Bennedict Mathurin has committed 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 0.8 higher than he's committed overall this season at home.
The LA Clippers have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the NBA without the home court advantage this year, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Pacers.
Offensive rebounds save possession and spark more chances for scoring and assists, but the Indiana Pacers rank 6thworst in in the league with only 10.1 offensive rebounds per game this year.
The Clippers have given up the 5th-most offensive boards per game (11.6) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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