Bennedict Mathurin Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/22/2023

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Bennedict Mathurin

NBA · Player Props

Bennedict Mathurin

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Rebounds

Indiana Pacers vs Toronto Raptors · Nov 22, 2023

Updated Nov 23, 2023 12:54 AM EST

Analysis

Bennedict Mathurin Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-165/+125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +130 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bennedict Mathurin has totaled a whopping 2.0 offensive boards per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 1.2 offensive boards per game last year.
Relative to last season's 28.8 rate, Bennedict Mathurin's playing time has jumped this season to 27.4 minutes per game.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the league on their home court this year.
The Raptors have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to more plays for the Indiana Pacers.
With the home court advantage, the Raptors have allowed the 8th-least offensive boards per game (10.1) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Bennedict Mathurin has accumulated 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 1.9 fouls per game last year.
The Indiana Pacers check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

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