Bennedict Mathurin Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/21/2023

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Bennedict Mathurin

NBA · Player Props

Bennedict Mathurin

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Rebounds

Atlanta Hawks vs Indiana Pacers · Nov 21, 2023

Updated Nov 22, 2023 12:55 AM EST

Analysis

Bennedict Mathurin Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+125/-160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bennedict Mathurin has tallied 2.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 0.6 higher than he's tallied in all games this season at home.
Bennedict Mathurin has committed just 0.5 personal fouls per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 2.2 fouls per game last season.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the quickest tempo in the league when playing at home this year.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA on the road this year, which should increase plays for the Pacers.

Favors Under

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Indiana Pacers rank 8thworst in in the NBA with just 9.3 offensive boards per game this year.
Away from home, the Hawks have allowed the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
Bennedict Mathurin will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage tends to lower stat production in all stat categories.

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