Bennedict Mathurin Points - Player Prop Bet 2/28/2024

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Bennedict Mathurin

NBA · Player Props

Bennedict Mathurin

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Indiana Pacers vs New Orleans Pelicans · Feb 28, 2024

Updated Feb 29, 2024 3:37 AM EST

Analysis

Bennedict Mathurin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bennedict Mathurin has registered 21.0 points per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 4.5 more than he's registered overall this season at home.
Bennedict Mathurin has played 33.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 5.6 more than he's played in all games this season at home.
In terms of offense, the Indiana Pacers's exceptional 123.7 points per game ranks most in the league this year.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the most up-tempo pace in the league playing at home this year.
This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team has collected 9.0 offensive boards per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Pelicans (losing possessions that could otherwise result in further chances for offense).

Favors Under

This year, opposing starting SFs have tallied 9.1 shot attempts per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) against the New Orleans Pelicans, marking this as a challenging matchup.
The Indiana Pacers will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from competing against the 4th-most lethargic tempo road team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Pelicans).
The Indiana Pacers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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