Bennedict Mathurin Points - Player Prop Bet 2/26/2024

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Bennedict Mathurin

NBA · Player Props

Bennedict Mathurin

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Toronto Raptors · Feb 26, 2024

Updated Feb 27, 2024 12:32 AM EST

Analysis

Bennedict Mathurin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-155/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bennedict Mathurin has successfully made 47.2% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games at home, 11.3% more than he's made from downtown in all games this season while playing at home.
The Indiana Pacers rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The matchup vs. Toronto is a good one; when the Raptors are away from home, they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the league to opposing starting SFs this year (23.9).
The Indiana Pacers have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA as the home team this year.
The Pacers will likely see an increase in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 10th-quickest tempo visiting offense in the league this year (the Toronto Raptors).

Favors Under

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Pacers grade out 1stworst in in the NBA with a mere 7.0 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
Without the home court advantage, the Toronto Raptors have allowed the most offensive boards per game (13.3) in the league to opposing squads over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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