Bennedict Mathurin Points - Player Prop Bet 2/4/2024

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Bennedict Mathurin

NBA · Player Props

Bennedict Mathurin

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Indiana Pacers · Feb 4, 2024

Updated Feb 4, 2024 10:53 PM EST

Analysis

Bennedict Mathurin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-135/+105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bennedict Mathurin has posted 13.1 points per game away from his home court this year, ranking him in the 75th percentile -- among the NBA's leaders by this metric.
Bennedict Mathurin has sunk 48.7% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games, 16.8% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year.
The 2nd-speediest tempo team in the NBA this year has been the Pacers.
The Indiana Pacers have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Charlotte Hornets have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.8) in the NBA to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

This year, opposing clubs have shot 39.7% on threes (highest in the league) vs. the Hornets, creating a favorable matchup.
The Indiana Pacers are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions today from sharing the court with the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Charlotte Hornets).
As a team, the Pacers have been poor at drawing fouls in recent days: worst in the NBA over the last 5 games, averaging a lowly 16.6 foul shots per game.
This matchup is a positive one for drawing fouls; the other team has attempted a whopping 23.2 foul shots per game this year (10th-most in the NBA).
Bennedict Mathurin stands to see a decline in productivity for all stats due to playing away from home in this matchup.

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