Bennedict Mathurin Points - Player Prop Bet 1/28/2024

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Bennedict Mathurin

NBA · Player Props

Bennedict Mathurin

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Memphis Grizzlies · Jan 28, 2024

Updated Jan 28, 2024 8:36 PM EST

Analysis

Bennedict Mathurin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bennedict Mathurin has logged 14.2 points per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the league in this category: 78th percentile.
When it comes to scoring, the Indiana Pacers's exceptional 124.7 points per game comes in as the strongest in the league this year.
This matchup is a challenging one for field goals; when the Memphis Grizzlies are on the road, opposing clubs have compiled the 4th-lowest field goal rate in the NBA against them this year (46.2%).
The Indiana Pacers have played at the quickest tempo in the NBA with the home court advantage this year.
The Indiana Pacers are expected to see a rise in opportunities today from competing against the speediest tempo away team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Memphis Grizzlies).

Favors Under

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Indiana Pacers grade out 10thworst in in the league with only 10.3 offensive boards per game this year.
Away from home, the Grizzlies have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 25 games when they have the home court advantage, opposing squads have attempted 24.2 foul shots per game (2nd-highest in the league) against the Memphis Grizzlies, finding it easy to draw fouls.

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