Bennedict Mathurin Points - Player Prop Bet 12/21/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Bennedict Mathurin

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Indiana Pacers · Dec 21, 2023

Updated Dec 22, 2023 1:15 AM EST

Analysis

Bennedict Mathurin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-124/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Indiana Pacers have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Indiana Pacers check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
On their home court, the Memphis Grizzlies have given up the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Bennedict Mathurin has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 17.2% higher than he's sunk overall this season.

Favors Under

Bennedict Mathurin has averaged 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.1 more than he's averaged over the course of the year.
This matchup is a strong one for three-point shots; when the Memphis Grizzlies have the home court advantage, the other team has totaled the most three-point shots per game in the league against them this year (14.8).
The Pacers will likely see a decline in plays today from sharing the court with the 3rd-most lethargic tempo home team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Memphis Grizzlies).
This matchup may be a positive one for getting to the foul line; opposing clubs have attempted a massive 27.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games (3rd-most in the NBA).
Bennedict Mathurin will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court generally decreases player performance in all stat categories.