Bennedict Mathurin Points - Player Prop Bet 12/16/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Bennedict Mathurin

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Indiana Pacers · Dec 16, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 1:13 AM EST

Analysis

Bennedict Mathurin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-104/-118).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Indiana Pacers check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The matchup against the Timberwolves is a hard one for shots from the field; the other team has posted the lowest FG% in the league this year (43.3%).
The quickest pace-of-play offense in the league this year has been the Pacers.
Bennedict Mathurin has converted 6.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 3.0 more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season when playing on the road.
The matchup against the Timberwolves may be a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing clubs have attempted a lowly 18.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Timberwolves are on their home court (3rd-least in the league).

Favors Under

Bennedict Mathurin has been called for 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's been called for overall this year.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should decrease plays for the Indiana Pacers.
The Pacers check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
This year when they are on the road, their opposition has secured 12.9 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-most in the league) against the Minnesota Timberwolves (saving possessions that can result in bonus opportunities for offense).
Bennedict Mathurin will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium generally reduces stat production in all facets of the game.