Bennedict Mathurin Points - Player Prop Bet 11/30/2023

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Bennedict Mathurin

NBA · Player Props

Bennedict Mathurin

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers · Nov 30, 2023

Updated Dec 1, 2023 12:43 AM EST

Analysis

Bennedict Mathurin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-125/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

In terms of offense, the Pacers's remarkable 127.6 points per game with the home court advantage settles in as the strongest in the league this year.
The fastest pace road offense in the NBA this year has been the Indiana Pacers.
This year when they are at home, opposing squads have secured 9.6 offensive boards per game (6th-fewest in the NBA) against the Miami Heat (lessening possessions that could otherwise produce further chances for offense).
The matchup against the Heat is a challenging one for drawing fouls; opposing clubs have attempted a mere 19.6 foul shots per game this year (4th-least in the NBA).

Favors Under

Bennedict Mathurin has averaged a lowly 12.9 points per game this year, significantly less than his 16.7 points per game last year.
Bennedict Mathurin has tallied 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 1.3 higher than he's tallied in all games this season on the road.
This year when they are at home, opposing teams have averaged 38.1% on 3-pointers (4th-best in the NBA) vs. the Heat, making this a favorable matchup.
The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Pacers.
The Pacers check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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