Bennedict Mathurin Points - Player Prop Bet 11/12/2023

NBA · Player Props

Bennedict Mathurin

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Indiana Pacers · Nov 12, 2023

Updated Nov 12, 2023 10:07 PM EST

Analysis

Bennedict Mathurin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (+100/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bennedict Mathurin has notched 15.3 points per game when playing at home since the start of last season, putting him in the 81st percentile -- near the top of the league by this metric.
The Pacers have been the highest scoring offense in the league this year.
The matchup against the Philadelphia 76ers is a positive one for 3-point shots; opposing starting SGs have posted the 29th-highest three rate in the NBA this year (46.3%).
The 2nd-most up-tempo tempo visiting offense in the NBA this year has been the Indiana Pacers.
The 76ers have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should increase possessions for the {OPP_TEAM}.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Bennedict Mathurin registers in the 86th percentile for technical fouls, averaging an enormous 0.1 fouls per game while playing away from home this year.
The Indiana Pacers check in as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games, opposing teams have collected 11.4 offensive boards per game (5th-most in the NBA) vs. the 76ers (preserving possessions that can lead to further chances for offense).
Bennedict Mathurin has successfully made a measly 2.3 foul shots per game this year, significantly lower than his 4.8 mark last year.
The matchup against Philadelphia may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a measly 3.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Philadelphia 76ers are away from home (12th-least in the league).