Bennedict Mathurin Points - Player Prop Bet 11/9/2023

NBA · Player Props

Bennedict Mathurin

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks · Nov 9, 2023

Updated Nov 10, 2023 12:11 AM EST

Analysis

Bennedict Mathurin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Since the start of last season, opposing starting SGs have tallied 6.1 3-point attempts per game (21st-most in the league) against the Bucks, resulting in a favorable matchup.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the league as the home team this year.
The {OPP_TEAM} are expected to see a rise in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 6th-quickest tempo team in the league this year (the Bucks).
The Indiana Pacers rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
Bennedict Mathurin is expected to get a boost in effectiveness in all stat categories considering having the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Bennedict Mathurin has sunk a lowly 38.7% of his field goal attempts this season, quite a bit less than his 45.0 mark last season.
Bennedict Mathurin has been called for 0.2 technical fouls per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 82nd percentile -- among the league's most-whistled when it comes to technicals.
Since the start of last season when they are the visiting team, opposing teams have grabbed 11.0 offensive rebounds per game (7th-highest in the league) against the Bucks (preserving possessions that can spark additional opportunities for offense).
As a team, the Indiana Pacers have been bad at getting to the foul line playing at home: 3rd-worst in the NBA this year, averaging a lowly 18.6 foul shot attempts per game.
Since the start of last season, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 2.0 free throws per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) against the Milwaukee Bucks, making it tough to get to the foul line.