Bennedict Mathurin Points - Player Prop Bet 11/6/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Bennedict Mathurin

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Indiana Pacers vs San Antonio Spurs · Nov 6, 2023

Updated Nov 6, 2023 11:51 PM EST

Analysis

Bennedict Mathurin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

As it relates to offense, the Indiana Pacers's remarkable 123.3 points per game places 3rd-best in the NBA this year.
The matchup vs. San Antonio is a positive one for three-pointers; when the San Antonio Spurs are on their home court, opposing starting SGs have shot for the 30th-highest three rate in the NBA since the start of last season (42.4%).
The 4th-speediest tempo offense in the league this year has been the Indiana Pacers.
The Spurs have played at the 7th-quickest tempo in the league on their home court this year, which ought to increase possessions for the Pacers.
Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, their opposition has grabbed 8.8 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-fewest in the league) against the Spurs (lessening possessions that could otherwise generate additional opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Bennedict Mathurin has converted 33.1% of his field goal attempts playing at home this year, ranking in the 23rd percentile out of all players in the league.
Among all players in the NBA, Bennedict Mathurin lands in the 83rd percentile for technical fouls, totaling a massive 0.1 fouls per game while at home since the start of last season.
As a team, the Indiana Pacers have been poor at getting to the foul line in recent games: 7th-worst in the NBA over the last 5 games while on their home court, totaling a measly 18.8 foul shot attempts per game.
Since the start of last season, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 2.7 foul shots per game (10th-fewest in the league) against the San Antonio Spurs, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.