Bennedict Mathurin Points - Player Prop Bet 4/7/2023

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Bennedict Mathurin

NBA · Player Props

Bennedict Mathurin

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Detroit Pistons · Apr 7, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 11:01 PM EST

Analysis

Bennedict Mathurin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-103/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -103.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bennedict Mathurin has scored 21.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.6 more than he's scored over the course of the year.
Bennedict Mathurin has averaged 35.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.6 higher than he's averaged in all games this season.
The matchup against the Pistons is a favorable one; they have given up the 26th-most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting SGs this year (18.0).
The Indiana Pacers have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the NBA at home this year.
The Indiana Pacers have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Bennedict Mathurin has shot and missed 2.7 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, placing him among the worst players in the league by this metric: 75th percentile for misses .
The Pistons have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Pacers.
The Pistons have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.1) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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