Bennedict Mathurin Points - Player Prop Bet 3/31/2023

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Bennedict Mathurin

NBA · Player Props

Bennedict Mathurin

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Mar 31, 2023

Updated Mar 31, 2023 11:11 PM EST

Analysis

Bennedict Mathurin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bennedict Mathurin has scored 16.6 points per game this year, placing him among the best players in the NBA in this category: 83rd percentile.
The matchup vs. the Thunder is a positive one for three-point attempts; opposing starting SGs have totaled the 27th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.4).
The Indiana Pacers have played at the fastest pace in the league while playing at home this year.
The Thunder have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which should increase opportunities for the Pacers.
The Indiana Pacers check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Bennedict Mathurin has attempted and missed 2.8 attempts from downtown per game this year, ranking him among the worst players in the NBA in this category: 77th percentile for misses .
Bennedict Mathurin has averaged 0.4 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.3 more than he's averaged over the course of the season at home.
The Indiana Pacers have been the 8th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA with the home court advantage this year.
The Thunder have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

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