Bennedict Mathurin Points - Player Prop Bet 2/28/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Bennedict Mathurin

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Indiana Pacers · Feb 28, 2023

Updated Mar 1, 2023 12:03 AM EST

Analysis

Bennedict Mathurin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bennedict Mathurin has posted 17.3 points per game since the start of last season, putting him in the company of the best players in the league in this category: 86th percentile.
Bennedict Mathurin has averaged 27.8 minutes per game since the start of last season, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 75th percentile.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Indiana Pacers rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
The Mavericks have allowed the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Bennedict Mathurin has missed 2.9 3-point shots per game since the start of last season, ranking him among the worst players in the league by this standard: 76th percentile for misses .
The Indiana Pacers rank as the 6th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league when playing away from home this year.
This matchup is a favorable one for scoring; opposing teams have put up the 3rd-highest field goal percentage in the league over the last 5 games (51.8%).
The Mavericks have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league this year, which should decrease possessions for the Pacers.
Bennedict Mathurin will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city generally worsens player performance in all stat categories.