Bennedict Mathurin Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/15/2023

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Bennedict Mathurin

NBA · Player Props

Bennedict Mathurin

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Assists

Washington Wizards vs Indiana Pacers · Dec 15, 2023

Updated Dec 15, 2023 11:25 PM EST

Analysis

Bennedict Mathurin Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Pacers have played at the fastest tempo in the NBA this year.
The Pacers are expected to get a boost in plays today from being pitted against the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play home offense in the league this year (the Wizards).

Favors Under

Bennedict Mathurin has posted a measly 1.6 assists per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 1.5 assists per game last year.
Bennedict Mathurin has tallied 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while at home, 1.5 more than he's tallied over the course of the season at home.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce further chances for scoring and assists, but the Pacers grade out 6thworst in in the NBA while on their home court with a mere 9.9 offensive boards per game this year.
This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing squads have secured 13.0 offensive boards per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Wizards (preserving possessions that can generate bonus chances for offense).
Bennedict Mathurin figures to experience a decrease in performance in all facets of the game due to playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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