Bennedict Mathurin Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/30/2023

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Bennedict Mathurin

NBA · Player Props

Bennedict Mathurin

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Assists

Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers · Nov 30, 2023

Updated Dec 1, 2023 12:13 AM EST

Analysis

Bennedict Mathurin Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+120/-160).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The fastest pace road offense in the NBA this year has been the Indiana Pacers.
This year when they are at home, opposing squads have secured 9.6 offensive boards per game (6th-fewest in the NBA) against the Miami Heat (lessening possessions that could otherwise produce further chances for offense).

Favors Under

Bennedict Mathurin has tallied a mere 0.6 assists per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 1.5 assists per game last year.
Bennedict Mathurin has tallied 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 1.3 higher than he's tallied in all games this season on the road.
The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Pacers.
The Pacers check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Bennedict Mathurin is expected to suffer a reduction in production in all stat categories as a result of being on the road in this game.

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